{"id":13868,"date":"2026-03-25T17:20:04","date_gmt":"2026-03-25T17:20:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/elpregonerodechile.com\/?p=13868"},"modified":"2026-03-25T17:20:04","modified_gmt":"2026-03-25T17:20:04","slug":"central-bank-adjusts-forecast-to-4-el-ciudadano","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/elpregonerodechile.com\/?p=13868","title":{"rendered":"Central Bank Adjusts Forecast to 4% El Ciudadano"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> \n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p data-parapraph=\"0\">Original article: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.elciudadano.com\/economia\/bencinazo-presiona-la-inflacion-banco-central-la-revisa-al-alza-y-la-ve-en-4\/03\/25\/\" target=\"_blank\">Bencinazo presiona la inflaci\u00f3n: Banco Central la revisa al alza y la ve en 4%<\/a><\/p>\n<hr\/>\n<p data-parapraph=\"1\">The Central Bank has revised its inflation forecast upward, anticipating a Consumer Price Index (CPI) of 4% for the second quarter of 2026. In the Monetary Policy Report (IPoM) published this Tuesday, it highlighted that this increase will be driven by the historic rise in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.elciudadano.com\/?s=combustibles\" title=\"fuels\" class=\"search-link\">fuel prices<\/a> in Chile.<\/p>\n<p data-parapraph=\"2\">According to the institution, while the December 2025 IPoM projected an annual inflation rate of 3.2%, this has now been raised to 4.0%.<\/p>\n<p data-parapraph=\"3\">The central bank warned that the ongoing conflict between the United States and Israel against Iran has \u00abconsiderably\u00bb increased external fuel prices and added a high degree of uncertainty to both global and local economic perspectives, \u00abfollowing a more robust external momentum observed at the beginning of the year.\u00bb<\/p>\n<p data-parapraph=\"4\">Based on the financial institution\u2019s analysis, considering the statistical close-out information, \u00abin the central scenario, inflation is expected to see a significant increase in the second quarter mainly associated with rising international fuel prices.\u00bb<\/p>\n<p data-parapraph=\"5\">\u00abFor total inflation, revisions are concentrated in the short term, mainly linked to the impact of war on international fuel prices. This results in a significant inflation increase, expected to hover around 4% annually starting in the second quarter,\u00bb the Central Bank stated in its projections.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-rising-fuel-prices-drive-inflation\"><span id=\"rising-fuel-prices-drive-inflation\">Rising Fuel Prices Drive Inflation<\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-parapraph=\"6\">The issuing authority noted that the increase in fuel prices, termed \u00abbencinazo,\u00bb which was recently announced by the government of Jos\u00e9 Antonio Kast, will exert upward pressure on inflation.<\/p>\n<p data-parapraph=\"7\">\u00abThis scenario incorporates the local fuel price hikes announced on Monday, March 23,\u00bb it stated in the March IPoM.<\/p>\n<p data-parapraph=\"8\">According to the Ministry of Finance, the increase\u2014expected to reach $370 per liter for 93-octane gasoline and up to $580 for diesel\u2014will take effect this Thursday, following the activation of the Fuel Price Stabilization Mechanism (MEPCO).<\/p>\n<p data-parapraph=\"9\">This increase means that filling a 48-liter tank with 93-octane gasoline could cost an additional $17,000, while fully fueling a truck with an 80-liter diesel tank would increase costs by $46,000.<\/p>\n<p data-parapraph=\"10\">In its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bcentral.cl\/resumen-ipom\/-\/detalle\/resumen-ipom-marzo-2026\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">report<\/a>, the Central Bank predicted that inflation could return to around 3% by the second quarter of 2027.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><script async defer crossorigin=\"anonymous\" src=\"https:\/\/connect.facebook.net\/en_US\/sdk.js#xfbml=1&#038;version=v14.0&#038;appId=91647977268&#038;autoLogAppEvents=1\" nonce=\"oICed85h\"><\/script><br \/>\n<br \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Original article: Bencinazo presiona la inflaci\u00f3n: Banco Central la revisa al alza&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13869,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.elciudadano.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/el-ciudadano-img-1.png","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-13868","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-internacionales-2"},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/elpregonerodechile.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13868","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/elpregonerodechile.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/elpregonerodechile.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/elpregonerodechile.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/elpregonerodechile.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=13868"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/elpregonerodechile.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13868\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/elpregonerodechile.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/13869"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/elpregonerodechile.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=13868"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/elpregonerodechile.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=13868"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/elpregonerodechile.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=13868"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}